Nigeria must
consider selling stakes in joint ventures with oil majors and other assets as
talks to borrow abroad have not succeeded yet and would in any case not
generate enough funds to stimulate economic recovery, the leader of the Senate
said.
Senate President Bukola Saraki,
the third most powerful official in Africa's biggest economy, also
said the oil producer might struggle with recession for up to nine months or
even longer unless it got serious about attracting investors.
The government said this month it had approved loans from China, the World
Bank, Japan and the African Development Bank, but
Saraki, whose relations with the president have cooled since last year, said
such talks were still ongoing with no deals yet.
"There is a big hole now in the fiscal deficit because that
funding is not coming through. So we've got to look for alternative ways to
fund that," Saraki said in a joint interview with the Financial Times on
Monday when asked about the loans.
The government has said it plans to borrow as much as $10
billion, with half of that coming from foreign sources, including a planned $1
billion Eurobond issue, to fund a budget deficit of 2.2 trillion naira ($7.21
billion) and boost an economy hammered by low oil prices and hard currency
shortages.
Saraki said that even if the loan talks succeeded, the amount
raised would not be enough to plug the hole in public finances. "My take
is that even if it does come through, it's money too little, too
late," he said, referring to the loan talks.
He said Nigeria needed to sell stakes in oil and gas
joint ventures, oil exploration contracts and refineries to raise funds.
"In my view, I really can't see any other pathway to recovery. We need
investors, we need to raise capital."
Such an asset sale would be necessary even if global crude
prices recovered to $70 a barrel andNigeria managed to restore oil production to 2
million barrels per day (bpd) with an end to militant attacks in the Niger
Delta oil hub, Saraki said. Officials say the attacks have reduced output by
700,000 bpd.
Saraki said Nigeria could overcome recession in six to
nine months if swift action was taken -- a more downcast view than that of the
government, which has forecast a quick recovery.
Central bank governor Godwin Emefiele was due to hold a news
conference at around 1315 GMT (09:15 a.m. EDT) after a meeting of the
rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee. The finance minister said on Monday the
central bank should lower interest rates so that the government can borrow domestically
to boost the economy.
Economists polled by Reuters last week predicted that the central
bank would keep its key interest rate at 14 percent and reiterate its focus on
resuscitating growth.
The government has said it is considering asset sales, but
has given no details.
"If we do things right, the confidence will come
in," Saraki said. "If we carry on waiting for government
revenues to go up, if we don't do anything seen as thinking out of the
box" the recession could drag on longer.
Nigeria's
2016 budget was the largest in the nation's history, but the oil price drop and Freedom fighters attacks have left the government scrambling for funds.
Saraki is from the same ruling All Progressives Congress
(APC) as PresidentMuhammadu Buhari, who was elected in March 2015
on a promise to end graft and mismanagement in the West African nation.
But relations between the two have been strained since
Saraki ran unopposed for the position of Senate president last year, mainly
with the backing of the opposition. He was not the APC's preferred candidate.

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